UFC 292 betting odds have Geoff Neal as a slight underdog +140, against Ian Garry -165.
Can Ian Garry go 13-0 and enter the top 5 at welterweight with a win over Neal?
See our UFC 292 betting prediction for Neal vs Garry plus the best prop bets.
Ian “The Future” Garry is set to face Geoff Neal in his next step forward. Garry’s upcoming bout at UFC 292 will mark his first appearance on a UFC main card. Garry’s last fight ended in a first-round KO over Daniel Rodriguez. UFC 292 will be headlined by Aljamain Sterling vs Sean O’Malley for the bantamweight strap.
On the other hand, Neal, who recently engaged in a fierce battle against Shavkat Rakhmonov, aims to be the party pooper and ruin Garry’s moment. Anticipation is high for this potential barn burner of a fight, and below, we’ll delve into the best odds and props for the Neal vs. Garry matchup.
Neal vs Garry Odds
FighterOddsGeoff Neal+140Ian Garry-165
At UFC 292, Geoff Neal is stepping into the Octagon as the underdog, is listed at +140. This means that if you were to bet $100 on Neal and he secures the victory, you would earn a profit of $140. As the underdog, Neal’s odds suggest that the online sportsbooks view him as the less favored fighter to win this bout.
Ian Garry enters as the favorite at -165. To win $100 betting on Garry, you would need to wager $165. Oddsmakers are giving the Irishman the edge with an implied win probability of 62.2% at UFC 292.
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Geoff Neal vs Ian Garry Prediction
Geoff Neal opens as the underdog here but is the more seasoned fighter with a record of 15-5. Neal boasts an impressive striking game, landing an average of 5.22 significant strikes per minute (SLpM) with a respectable 50% striking accuracy. He’s no stranger to absorbing strikes, though, as he takes in around 5.60 significant strikes per minute (SApM) with a defense rating of 58%.
Neal will be taking on the undefeated Ian Garry, the rising star with a flawless record of 12-0. At a towering height of 6’3″, he enjoys a reach advantage of one inch over Neal. Garry’s striking game is top-notch, with a higher SLpM of 6.85 and an impressive 55% striking accuracy. Not only does he land strikes at an impressive rate, but he also manages to avoid taking much damage, with a SApM of 4.09 and a defense rating of 53%.
Out of the two, Neal tends to be the more active wrestler, averaging 0.51 takedowns per 15 minutes with a takedown accuracy of 44%. He also boasts a remarkable takedown defense of 87%, making him challenging to take down. Garry’s grappling numbers are relatively lower, with an average of 0.29 takedowns per 15 minutes and a takedown accuracy of 50%. However, he compensates with a decent takedown defense of 63%, making it difficult for opponents to put him on his back.
To predict how this fight could unfold, we must analyze each fighter’s strengths and weaknesses. Geoff Neal’s powerful striking and striking defense could be his keys to victory.
If he can land significant strikes and avoid Garry’s offense, he might wear down his opponent and look for opportunities to finish the fight. Ian Garry’s unbeaten record is a testament to his incredible striking prowess and accuracy. He’ll be looking to exploit his reach advantage and pepper Neal with a diverse range of strikes.
Garry’s takedown defense will also be vital in keeping the fight standing, where he feels most comfortable. One significant advantage that Garry possesses is his height and reach advantage. Standing three inches taller than Neal and having an extra inch in reach, Garry can use his long limbs to keep Neal at a distance and avoid getting caught in close-quarters exchanges.
Neal’s grappling and takedown skills could be a potential avenue for victory. If he can mix up his striking with well-timed takedowns, he might catch Garry off guard and control the fight on the ground.
If you like doing same-game parlays for UFC betting, then I see this fight going over 1.5 rounds is an exciting option, due to Neal’s durability I don’t see a finish happening as much in the first round.
As for my UFC 292 prediction, I see Ian Garry’s precision striking and reach advantage giving him the edge in this thrilling encounter. Expect Garry to keep Neal at bay with his long-range strikes and avoid getting drawn into a slugfest. If he can maintain his striking volume while defending takedowns effectively, Garry may very well secure a late finish or unanimous decision victory.
Betting Pick: Ian Garry & Over 1.5 Rounds