UFC 292 odds are live with Aljamain Sterling -275 against Sean O’Malley at +220.
Will O’Malley become the second fighter to stop Sterling?
See our betting prediction with prop bets for Sterling vs O’Malley at UFC 292.
The train doesn’t stop at bantamweight for Aljamain Sterling, as he takes on yet another solid contender in Sean O’Malley at UFC 292. O’Malley who’s coming off a split decision win over Petr Yan knows the pressure is on to make a statement in this 135-pound title bout. We review the latest Sterling vs O’Malley odds, props for UFC 292 below.
Sterling vs O’Malley Odds
FighterOddsAljamain Sterling-275Sean O’Malley+220
Aljamain Sterling is considered the favorite at UFC 292 with odds of -275. In terms of betting on the champ to retain his bantamweight title you would need to bet $275 to win $100 if Sterling wins the fight. Sterling has an implied win probability of approximately 78.26%.
In O’Malley’s first title fight he is currently a +220 underdog, if you bet $100 on O’Malley and he wins, you would win $220. Giving “Suga” Sean a 31.25% chance according to US online sportsbooks to defeat Sterling.
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Aljamain Sterling vs Sean O’Malley Prediction
At UFC 292 reigning champion Aljamain “Funk Master” Sterling, boasting an impressive record winning streak takes on the always dangerous Sean O’Malley with a KO rate 69%.
When it comes striking, both Sterling and O’Malley are gifted strikers, but their styles differ significantly. O’Malley has a blistering striking rate, landing an incredible 7.43 significant strikes per minute with an impressive 60% accuracy.
His height advantage and switch stance make him a dynamic force in the stand-up game. On the other hand, Sterling may not be as flashy, but his 4.78 significant strikes per minute and 52% accuracy pack a solid punch. His orthodox stance gives him a stable base to counter O’Malley’s movement.
O’Malley’s explosive striking is be key here in the early rounds, and elusive footwork might give him an edge in the stand-up, but Sterling’s accuracy and ability to capitalize on mistakes could even the playing field. On weakness from O’Malley is his aggressive striking leaves him susceptible to absorbing more strikes (3.54 per minute) compared to Sterling’s 2.37. If Sterling can weather the early storm and keep the pressure on, he might find openings in O’Malley’s defense.
When it comes to grappling, Sterling has a clear advantage. With an impressive takedown average of 2.02 per 15 minutes and a 24% takedown accuracy, he can take the fight to the mat and control the pace.
O’Malley, while showcasing good takedown defense at 60%, lacks the wrestling acumen to counter Sterling’s takedowns effectively. Advantage: Sterling’s grappling prowess provides him with a path to victory by taking O’Malley out of his comfort zone and controlling the fight on the ground.
O’Malley’s takedown defense has improved, and he can potentially keep the fight standing where he is most dangerous. If Sterling’s takedowns fail, he might be vulnerable to O’Malley’s striking prowess.
Sterling holds an advantage in the submission department, averaging 0.8 submissions per 15 minutes compared to O’Malley’s 0.5. The Funk Master’s slick Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu skills could spell trouble for O’Malley if the fight hits the canvas.
Sterling’s submission threat could force O’Malley to be cautious, allowing him to transition into dominant positions and seek a finish. O’Malley’s ground game has not been heavily tested in the UFC, so it remains to be seen how he handles Sterling’s submission attempts.
Sterling’s cardio and experience in longer fights could prove crucial if this battle goes into the championship rounds. So, the big question: How can each fighter win this epic clash? To secure victory, Sterling needs to utilize his grappling and takedown skills early in the fight.
He must close the distance, avoid O’Malley’s power strikes, and take the fight to the ground. Once there, Sterling can capitalize on his submission expertise to finish the bout or earn points through ground control. His ability to control the pace and wear down O’Malley over time will be key to claiming victory.
The Sugar Show must rely on his exceptional striking and movement to keep the fight standing. O’Malley’s dynamic footwork and range control should be used to pick apart Sterling from a distance. He must avoid being taken down and use his takedown defense to keep the fight in his striking realm. Landing heavy shots and frustrating Sterling with his unorthodox style could lead O’Malley to a spectacular knockout victory.
In my analysis, numerous UFC fighters have expressed their predictions, and the majority stands firmly behind Sterling. They firmly believe that Sterling’s exceptional grappling skills will prove to be too overwhelming for O’Malley to counter, making it highly probable for Sterling to secure victory through a submission in the upcoming fight.
Betting Pick: Sterling by Submission.